Diary of Progress
06 March, 2019
Draft 5 of Introduction to Steady State (download here)
My chapter which introduces steady state is now sufficiently complete including figures. I might add figures at a later date to accompany the bathtub analogy. The topic of ZPG has been shunted into a separate chapter A Primer on Population Dynamics and ZPG and expanded. Steady state and ecological economics will be addressed in a separate chapter.
05 March, 2019
Draft 40 of A Primer on Population Dynamics & ZPG (download here)
My chapter on population dynamics and ZPG is now sufficiently complete including figures and tables.
13 January, 2019
Progress on Population Dynamics Section
Over the last 4 weeks I have extracted the two page zero population growth sub-section from the Steady State section and this has already expanded into a 17 page standalone section on population dynamics and zero population growth. In 2002 I wrote a working paper A Primer on thermodynamics for use in energy analysis of building stock. Since October 2015 this publication has reached over 440 reads on ResearchGate which has given me the idea to continue expanding what I have already written into a working paper A primer on population dynamics and ZPG. This will take a number of weeks to complete.
07 January, 2019
Draft 3 of Steady State (download here)
The text of draft 3 of Steady State is now sufficiently complete. I have yet to add figures and table.
06 January, 2019
Comment on writing process
I am currently salvaging content from my 1978 sub-thesis into sections that can be reused. When I have completed doing this, I will re-check the content of each section for accuracy, identify sources, and then update and expand these sections. New sections will then follow.
05 January, 2019
Draft 4 of Pre-Industrial Human Settlements (download here)
The text of draft 4 of Pre-Industrial Human Settlements is now sufficiently complete. I have yet to add figures.
19 December, 2018
Draft 3 of Ekistics: The Science of Human Settlements (download here)
The text of draft 3 of Ekistics: The Science of Human Settlements is now sufficiently complete. I have yet to add tables and figures. At the moment I am focusing on the text of each section.
17 December, 2018
Draft 2 of Ecological Systems (download here)
The text of draft 2 of Ecological Systems is now sufficiently complete and I am now working on the accompanying diagrams.
15 December, 2018
Draft 18 of Thermodynamics (download here) and Draft 19 of Energy Analysis (download here)
I have now decided to initially write my book as self-contained sections. The above sections are titled Laws of Thermodynamics and Energy Analysis & Energetics. There is much more content I could add to these sections, but the current content is sufficient for now and the structure of each section is now more or less fixed (famous last words). There are stacks more sections to write and it will take a number of years for me complete.
07 December, 2018
Draft 11 of Chapter 3: Energetics (download here)
It has taken me some time to decide on the final structure of my book which updates my 1978 sub-thesis In Search of Steady State. The previous Draft 06 Introduction to Energy has now been merged into Chapter 3: Energetics. My next task is to create diagrams and then complete editing. I have been able to reuse a large proportion of my original text and, with the luxury of time, I have tightened the wording where necessary. Some updating and revision is also necessary.
30 November, 2018
Draft 03 of Issues of Sustainability (outline) (download here)
29 November, 2018
Draft 06 of Introduction to Energy (download here)
Draft 06 includes additional explanation, minor corrections, tightening of wording, and additional references.
28 November, 2018
Draft 05 of Introduction to Energy (download here)
Feedback and reply on Draft 02 of Introduction
I have received some feedback on my Draft 02 Introduction, and my response is as follows:
I presume you will itemise the topics you wish to cover in each chapter and avoid overlapping.
Yes and no. I have developed extensive lists of content from different aspects which are contained within a manuscript management software package called Scrivener. The content of each item in a list can be shunted up and down to change the order in the same way that the order of sentences can be changed in Microsoft word using the outlining feature.
My task in writing is to make links between topics. There will be an overlap of topics from chapter to chapter due to the linear nature of a book. I am keeping my options open in that I will self-publish an electronic book which has links from each topic to a section of the electronic book which covers that topic in more detail. First I will link topics in each chapter to an appropriate level of detail. When I have completed all chapters, I will then cull unnecessary detail from most chapters and provide links to chapters which contain more detail. There is a book called Lean Logic: A Dictionary for the Future and How to Survive It by David Fleming on issues of sustainability. A graduate student is currently working on an electronic version with electronic links. The field of sustainability is not linear. It is instead a web of inter-linking topics.
Your introduction doesn't want to be like a conclusion (updated 29 November 2018)
To some people my introduction might sound as a conclusion. They would be correct. I make one absolute conclusion. Sustainable growth is impossible, it is a nonsense, and it will never happen. The certainty of this conclusion is as great as the fact that one plus one add up to two. By concluding that sustainable growth is impossible, I make a second logical conclusion. If humankind should survive for many millennia, then the only possible way for that to happen is for human settlements to either continue as steady state settlements or decline, a decline that could be gradual or punctuated. There are no other options.
I can't foretell the future. In my book I state what I hope for, and I assume that humankind will survive for millennia to come. My book is a forecast which can be a prediction or a plan, and I state that it is both. My book is about steady state, and we can plan for steady state. If we do not, then we risk a decline which could be rapid.
I think that the safe use of atomic energy shouldn't be disregarded as an option
I agree, and I have already modified my Introduction as follows:
"I have strong reservations about the use of nuclear fission as an energy source on ethical grounds that we bear a responsibility to future generations of humankind and other species not to endanger their existence and leave them a heritage of nuclear waste that will have to be guarded for centuries. A number of energy researchers who I highly respect advise against ruling out nuclear energy. Nuclear energy is a can of worms which will be fully addressed in later chapters. New Zealand is fortunate in that the use of nuclear energy is unnecessary because New Zealand already has a high level per capita of hydro-electricity, high potential for wind power, and potential to expand its current generation of geothermal electricity."
27 November, 2018
Draft 03 of Preface (download here) and Introduction (download here)
I go through many drafts when writing. In the Preface I have been more explicit about the integration of Energetic and Ekistics. In the Introduction I have been more circumspect about the use of nuclear energy plus some tightening of wording. I am now focusing on an energy related chapter. No doubt the Preface and Introduction will undergo further changes further down the line.
26 November, 2018
Draft 02 of Preface (download here) and Introduction (download here)
I have finally made a start on writing an update to my sub-thesis, In Search of Steady State, that I wrote 40 years ago in 1978. This sub-thesis is described in the Preface.
In my Recommended Books section of this website I have described how I manage bibliographies and access information in electronic form using Microsoft Access, Scrivener which is a manuscript management software package, and desktop search engines. So far I have entered only the title of books into Scrivener. In due course I will also enter the titles of the journal publications that I cite.
I use Scrivener to manage the structure of my book, and the content within Scrivener includes not only bibliographies, but also edited text from my sub-thesis that I might reuse, quotations, structured lists of potential content, and lists of the issues and principles of steady state. A zipped file of my current Scrivener file and folders can be downloaded here.